Risks and opportunities for latin america global trends 2030. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Worlds top global mega trends to 2025 and implications to. What will our future world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years.
Alternative worlds, the report emphasizes that world leaders and. Download file free book pdf global trends 2030 alternative worlds english edition at complete pdf library. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement center for global development. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. We project that the world economy could more than double in size by 2050, assuming broadly growthfriendly policies including no sustained longterm retreat into protectionism and no major global. Alternative investments 2020 the future of alternative.
A series of looming demographic trends will greatly affect international security in the twentyfirst century. Megatrends that could change the world by 2030 business insider. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. The alternative is an even longer list of blog posts, like above, linked at end of post. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds megatrends 36 hydraulic fracturing hydraulic fracturing, or frackinga new technology to extract gas and oil from rock formationsis already making sizable differences in the ability of oil and gas companies to extract natural gas and oil from resources previously thought to be inaccessible. Global trend analysis global regionallocal factors effecting mission agencies today references. This gt2030 link should start a pdf download immediately. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. The us has regained its position as the world s largest natural gas producer and. There will be a rapid increase in the number of millionaires and billionaires in china, india, brazil, russia, and other rapidly growing economies. Book file pdf easily for everyone and every device. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the.
For the first time in history, emerging economies are counterparts on more than half of global trade flows, and southsouth trade is the fastestgrowing type of connection. The global trends 2030 report builds on the precedent set by earlier editions of global trends in identifying four possible future models of the world out to 2030 but takes this alternative world futures analysis to a new level. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. United states national intelligence council us nic. While the future worlds presented in the other three scenarios presented in gt2030 have their own uncertainties and conundrums, the nonstate world scenario envisions a world where it is hard enough to guess, let. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. How policymakers adjust to these changes now will determine the course of global political and economic stability for years to come. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Jan 03, 20 global trends 2030 with america at the center. Alternative worlds authored by intelligence council, national released at filesize. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series.
Her breadth of knowledge across businesses and industries is truly impressive. Back in 2010, china officially passed japan to become the worlds second largest economy. This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today. To take a minor example, a technology enabling for one million dollars to increase ones life expectancy to 150 years. Global trends 2030 is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. Alternative worlds national intelligence council dec 2012 global trends 2030. Alternative worlds, the national intelligence council provides a hypothesis of political and geographic factors that could influence the world in the year 2030. Dec 01, 2012 global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds download pdf global trends 2030. Southsouth and chinasouth trade jumped from 8 percent of the global total in 1995 to 20 percent in 2016. In a likely tectonic shift, the united states could become energyindependent. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment.
Dec, 2012 of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader. The poor will represent 20% of the global population whereas 10% will be on the verge of starvation. This report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. She managed to make the content relevant to the executives international audience through examples that resonated with the group. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds gt2030 blog posts. At the end of 2012, the us national intelligence council nic released global trends 2030. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm view important in making portfolio allocation decisions. Alternative worlds of the us national intelligence council nic comes to a similar conclusion that we are living through a transformative period that is equal to if not greater than the aftermath of the political and economic revolutions of the late 18th century.
Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds english edition pdf free download. Trend and proportion of global displacement, 19962015 49 figure 18. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Number of disasters associated with natural hazards worldwide and by continent, 19762015 50 figure 19. The future of alternative investments 3 introduction and scope the alternative investment industry is deeply embedded in the global. According to a recently released report from the national intelligence council titled global trends 2030. After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement the availability and affordability of health productsmedicines, diagnostics, devices, and equipmentare critical to achieving universal health coverage and improving health outcomes. Alternative worlds, china will possess the worlds largest economy by 2030, if not. Following the various global trends reports as well as the blog schedule of the next one, the neglect of possible radical and even revolutionary impacts of science and technology is striking.
It presents these models with a caveat, by noting that none of these alternative worlds are inevitable and in. Cgd policy paper 145 june 2019 center for global development. In introducing this, i want to quote something that was said last fall in the initial rollout of this document by the principle author, matt boroughs, who. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. We explored the implications of various trends and discontinuities over. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. Global mega trends urbanizationcity as a customer smart is the new green social trends. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Alternative worlds, argues that the historic moment the obama administration now confronts recalls past transition pointssuch as 1815, 1919, 1945, and 1989when the path forward was not clearcut and the world faced the possibility of different. In 2012, the us government put on its futurist hat and published a report entitled global trends 2030.
Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide. The developing world is driving global connectedness. Dec 10, 2012 on monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
A dialogue about the future with nongovernmental experts. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Global trends 2030 with america at the center forbes. A more fragmented international system in which existing forms of cooperation are no longer seen as advantageous to many of the key global players would also increase the potential for competition and even great power conflict. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment of a series that aims to provide a framework for thinking about future policy planning. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Alternative worlds, national intelligence council global trends analysis, first fruit, inc. World s top global mega trends to 2025 and implications to business, society, and cultures 2014 edition macro to micro implications of mega trends for the world.
It describes the megatrends, gamechangers, and four potential worlds that we will likely face. Pdf download global trends 2030 alternative worlds. Alternative worlds, released in december 2012, identifies several mega trends and game changers that will shape future world scenarios. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u.
Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. The reflectivepractitioner women and men of both action and. Jan 07, 20 without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. Jun 05, 2019 drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper envisions how the global landscape might change between now and 2030, with a focus on the implications for global health, imagining the alternative worlds of 2030. Global trends in hiv, malaria and tb incidence rates, 2000 2015 51. Global unemployment trends for 20002014 and projections for 20152020 million 46 figure 17. Without putting too fine a point on it, the nonstate world scenario represents what is arguably the most uncertain and unpredictable scenario presented in global trends 2030. The long view how will the global economic order change by.
Based on each reports trends, policy planners illustrated a number of possible worlds that could likely exist. Burrows, director of the strategic foresight initiative at the atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security and the principal drafter the highly influential national intelligence council publication global trends 2030. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. The us presented four alternative worlds, the eu and russia, one each. Tracey delivered a concise and wellstructured presentation on key global trends and how to think about turning them into opportunities. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligencecouncils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Unlike the eu vision, humanity will not achieve one shared, cooperative, and global community. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. The publication is compiled of four megatrends, gamechangers, and potential worlds that make a framework for the future of the world.
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